7–11 Jul 2025
Yildiz Technical University, Istanbul
Europe/Brussels timezone

Building Scenarios for Future Communities: Empirical Insights from China

Not scheduled
20m
Yildiz Technical University, Istanbul

Yildiz Technical University, Istanbul

Oral Track 09 | URBAN FUTURES

Speaker

Dr Zhiqiang Si (Tsinghua University)

Description

In the wake of advancements in information and intelligent technologies, urban development has transitioned into an era marked by heightened levels of intelligence and modernisation. Academics are now grappling with two fundamental questions: what will future communities resemble, and how can existing communities be progressively transformed to embody these futuristic ideals? Globally, countries are undertaking pioneering construction practices aimed at developing future communities, such as the Quayside Project Cancellation in Canada and Toyota's 'Woven City' in Japan. Within China, a multitude of cities have responded by formulating policies specifically for future communities and executing numerous construction projects. A prime example is Shanghai’s 'Jiading Ideal Land', which stands as a completed, emblematic project that heralds a novel paradigm in real estate development. This paper aims to investigate the construction and development of future communities within the distinct socio-economic landscape of China. By conducting a textual analysis of pertinent policies and construction cases, this study articulates four principal scenarios for future community development: green living environments, low-carbon sustainability, smart technological integration, and vibrant societal engagement. Each scenario is preliminarily framed and thoroughly examined through detailed descriptions, theoretical explanations, case studies, and a compilation of technology lists derived from over a hundred instances. Additionally, drawing on field investigations and in-depth interviews conducted at Shanghai's 'Jiading Ideal Land', the paper offers empirical insights into China's approach to building future communities. This encompasses: ① The collaborative models between governmental bodies and enterprises, which concentrate on strategic top-level design, investment frameworks, and policy research. ② The proposition of planning theories centred around the '1+N+X' model exemplified by the 'Jiading Ideal Land'. ③ An exploration of the technological spectrum employed in future communities. ④ An examination of supply chain systems, including comparative analyses of distinctive suppliers and their products. ⑤ The establishment of evaluation systems designed to gauge customer perception and validate assessment criteria.Ultimately, this study seeks to provide valuable reference material for policymakers and practitioners, informing the formulation of effective policies and strategies for the development of future communities.

Keywords Future Communities;Scenario Building;Empirical Analysis;Jiading Ideal Land
Best Congress Paper Award Yes

Primary authors

Dr Zhiqiang Si (Tsinghua University) Prof. Yan Tang (Tsinghua University) Dr Cheng Cheng (Tsinghua University)

Presentation materials

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